Tropical Depression Sixteen forms in southwestern Caribbean Sea

Trevor Jackson
October 5, 2017

The system off the Nicaraguan coast is expected to strengthen into a tropical storm later Wednesday and reach hurricane strength with winds of 80 miles (129 kilometers) per hour Sunday as it nears the USA coastline between Louisiana and Florida, according to the U.S.

As of 8 a.m. Wednesday, the National Hurricane Center gives Invest 90-L a 90% chance of developing into a tropical system in the next 48 hours.

The system is likely to encounter intensification, becoming a tropical storm, as long as it is over the very warm Caribbean waters.

Check The Palm Beach Post's live storm tracking map. Temperatures will be running about five degrees above average with highs in the mid to upper 80s forecast. The storm could reach hurricane strength by Sunday, when the forecast track indicates a potential hit on the US mainland.

If a closed circulation of low pressure is found with enough thunderstorm activity, the system could be classified as a tropical depression or tropical storm.

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Bottom line: We're still a bit too far out to determine potential impacts for states in the gulf, but early signs are boding well for Texas.

NOAA's National Hurricane Center issued a Tropical Weather Outlook due to two systems that may become tropical cyclones. Strong wind shear is expected to keep that system disorganized, which is still expected to generate heavy rain and gusty wind in Florida and the Bahamas. Both European and American model groups show the depression reaching the southern Gulf of Mexico Friday but then they diverge. "Residents along the Gulf Coast from Louisiana to Florida should monitor the progress of this system for the next several days".

After likely making landfall Sunday, the depression should get drawn northward into this front charging toward the East Coast. Just understand tropical storm conditions are possible for some spots by Saturday night and Sunday.

"It's not terribly unusual to see storms this time of year develop", Godsey said.

A disturbance in the southwestern Caribbean Sea is gaining organization.

Other reports by TheDailyFarc

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